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curl-6 on 09 July 2020
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Pavolink said:
curl-6 said:

I think 2022 would be too soon; that would give Switch a shorter time before succession than the 3DS despite it selling way better.

This phased transition some of you are plugging doesn't seem likely either, as the whole point of the Switch is to unify their development efforts into a single system.

My guess comes from these assumptions:

1. Switch sales. At this moment, I believe having a big and diverse library, not only consisting in their own first party titles, is the major factor for the current success. They are going to pursue this objective in the following years and systems, thus it is very important to keep the tech gap between the other devices and their own one in a manageable position to allow external studios to keep porting their games. Even EA has announced more titles and other companies are willing to port their games if the tech is there.

It doesn't need to be any stronger to keep getting third party games; it already gets very few current AAA games so that won't change much, while indies, exclusives, and Japanese support will continue to carry it.