Famitsu Sales: Week 24, 2020 (Jun 08 - Jun 14)

[curl-6]

StarDoor said:

curl-6 said:

I don't think it will fall off a cliff, just that it will have a normal decline, with this year most likely being its peak year, and that by 2023 it'll be time for its successor.

Ideally, you don't want to wait too long or until your system is already dead before replacing it. By 2023 Switch should be selling similarly to how 3DS was when it was replaced in 2017.

3DS sold 9.7 million in 2014, and you expect 2020 to be Switch's peak year, which means 19.4 million at minimum.

If switch is doing +100% over 3DS in its fourth year, why would it be +0% in its seventh?

Okay it'll probably be a bit higher, (though 3DS actually had a fairly decent 2016 didn't it, how much did it sell that year?) but by then Nintendo's big system sellers will have long since all released and it'll be pretty much cruising on evergreens and small/mid tier releases plus sequels that won't be system sellers the way their first Switch entries were.