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curl-6 on 03 June 2020
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The_Liquid_Laser said:
curl-6 said:

Again, you're trying to force Switch into the paradigm of past generations which it just doesn't fit due to its hybrid nature.

PS5 will fill the same market role as the PS4, so if Switch didn't directly compete against 4, there's zero reason for it to suddenly compete against 5.

Let me put it this way; no system with a direct competitor as successful as the Switch has ever sold better than the PSP. (And even then its questionable just how directly PSP and DS competed) How much do you expect PS5 to sell, lifetime?

The Switch doesn't directly compete against the PS4, because the Wii U directly competed against the PS4.  The Switch and the PS5 are both the respective successors. 

How much do I expect PS5 to sell?  There is still more info I need, because I need to know the marketshare split between PS5 and Series X.  Neither console has even been revealed yet so that is impossible to tell.  Switch is taking away sales from both systems.  I also need to know when the Switch will peak, and that also has yet to be determined.  Giving a very rough approximation though, I'd say PS5 + Series X combined will sell about 100m +/- 30m.

See this first paragraph is just completely arbitrary. PS4/5 will fill the same market niche, a mainstream AAA machine, either Switch competes against that or it doesn't, both or neither.

And I will bet you right here and now that PS5 + XSX sell more than 130 million combined. Will you take that bet?