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Farsala on 19 May 2020
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ZS said:
Farsala said:

GoT is coming out during a bad time, so late in the PS4 gen. It has the potential to do just as bad as Days Gone or as good as early Horizon sales as a new ip, but the late release doesn't help.

Switch games tend to do better than their predecessors, so a 1st party Mario game should have no problem.

I will have to go with Paper Mario.

Don’t underestimate gaming buddy,

TLOU came out like 5 months before PS4 came out and it did exceptionally well for a new IP. 
GTAV was a late release, coming out 2-3 months before “next gen” and it destroyed everyone’s expectations by a landslide, even to this date surely every kid and their parents have one each and now who is still buying the game? 

Late releases can be a good thing, like a swansong for a console, the games I mentioned were very well received 

Animal crossing came out during a bad time (covid19) and it blew up, I never saw the surge coming, I knew the game would sell well overtime, I know people that snapped up a switch just to play this game with their friends in isolation.

Yep but GTAV is made by Rockstar, a dev with many high selling games, and is from a top franchise. TLOU is made by ND, a dev renowned for making good games. Animal Crossing is a famous franchise that appeals to many markets.

GoT is a new ip from a dev known for making superhero games that only sell around 3m. It will do well, but not THAT well.