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Based mostly on what we know now, with some reasonable rumor's, if XBSX price matches PS5 (which I would assume means no Lockhart), or if XBSX is more expensive but Lockhart is the cheapest by a wide enough margin, then I see MS gaining back some market share. Like taking 15 million from PS4 right now and adding it to XB1 total sales.

So at this point in time next gen, instead of:
PS4=110M / XB1=48M
We end up with something maybe closer to:
PS5=95M / XBS?=63M

This could vary by something like say 5M either way, assuming there's no major hardware or software screw up's, or another brand entry into the space. Odds are something is bound to happen that will make this guess a lost cause though. We'll see.



PS1   - ! - We must build a console that can alert our enemies.

PS2  - @- We must build a console that offers online living room gaming.

PS3   - #- We must build a console that’s powerful, social, costs and does everything.

PS4   - $- We must build a console that’s affordable, charges for services, and pumps out exclusives.

PRO  -%-We must build a console that's VR ready, checkerboard upscales, and sells but a fraction of the money printer.

PS5   - ^ -We must build a console that’s a generational cross product, with RT lighting, and price hiking.

PRO  -&- We must build a console that Super Res upscales and continues the cost increases.