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SMO FY 2018 vs 2019

Super Mario Odyssey - 50.000 / 2.250.000

Super Mario Odyssey - 50.000 / 2.460.000

In terms of other notable evergreens, Super Mario Odyssey doesn't have the longevity of Breath of the Wild.

As a Single Player game that was bundled at it's launch, there is an ample second-hand market. They only shipped + sold an additional 210K units in the past year. Compared that to Zelda which is close to 500K, its still decent sales considering Super Mario Odyssey is already very close to 2.5M, but I expect Breath of the Wild to overtake it by the end of the FY for Nintendo. As I mentioned Animal Crossing bringing in new audiences & making this year the strongest in terms of hardware sales will help evergreen titles in the upcoming months. The other factors are:

  • A revived interest in the game when Breath of the Wild 2 releases

Usually, this is noticed with games like this - it's not a substantial increase but could lead to a 10-20% increase after the sequel releases.

  • Lowering the retail and digital price is another option for expanding Breath of the Wild sales, its also likely a way to increase Smash Ultimate sales. Since that's the other game that has a very high price compared to other evergreens

Smash Ultimate - ¥7.200

Breath of the Wild - ¥6.980

Super Mario Odyssey - ¥5.980

Splatoon 2 - ¥5.980

Super Mario Party - ¥5.980

Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - ¥5.980

Smash Ultimate is 20% more expensive than other evergreens. While Breath of the Wild is 17% more expensive. From time to time we see Nintendo dropping the price of its big titles by 33% but temporarily making the retail price lower for the holidays this year could provide a lot of additional sales during Obon and Christmas. Bundling evergreens with JoyCons is another good option which has helped Super Mario Party immensely