curl-6 said:
Soundwave said:
The flipside to that though is you can lose momentum in a blink of an eye in this business if you are too slow/lackadasical in your transition.
Nintendo in particular has had this problem really multiple times, going back famously to even their first hardware transition, Hiroshi Yamauchi was so angry with the Genesis going from a joke circa late 1989/1990 to eating a large chunk of the SNES' market share in the West that he publically slammed his own son-in-law (Mr. Arakawa) to the press, lol, which is a huge embarrassment in Japanese business culture.
You can go very quickly from top of the world to "oh shit, what's happening". It even happened to Sony, they must have thought they'd entered some weird Twilight Zone circa early 2007 whereas 12 months prior they weren't even close to being challenged by anyone.
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2022/2023 wouldn't be a "slow" transition though, that's a normal 5-6 year cycle.
All they'd need to do is plan the next 3 years well and make sure Switch 2 launches with killer software like Mario Kart 9 and Splatoon 3 in its first year.
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More or less I think we're in agreement on that. If you're not good at something you're better off just keeping it simple.
6 years from Switch 1 launch is a long enough product cycle there's not that much to gain from milking an extra year. It's simple and straight forward. The technology available to Nvidia is not going to be so different anyway in a year, Nintendo will likely opt for 7nm which will be available by 2023 easily, and then save 5nm for a Lite revision.
