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Slownenberg said:

especially this year with new systems launching, that they won't have some centerpiece game for the holidays that says to people "forget the other systems, this is the must have game of the holidays!".

Assuming the new systems come out this year still. Nothing will stop them form selling well. Even if Nintendo had 10 games coming.

Core gamers are excited to see the beefed up hardware and hopefully some ray tracing in launch games.

You casual gamers or impulse buyers would probably just buy the cheapest thing on the market for their kids xmas present.