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NateH said:
When you look at games like Smash Ultimate (which outsold New Horizons in their respective North American openings) having 17 million lifetime, I'm thinking this is laughable. Twelve million in Japan alone is New Leaf's global lifetime. Might as well predict New Horizons will be the best-selling Switch game ever.

Fun fact 1: AC NH will outsold New Leaf in Japan within 4months on the market, possibly sooner

Fun fact 2: SSBU had 5 weeks including holiday month and AC had less in a non holiday one

Fun Fact 3: 17mil lifetime is not close of what it’s gonna sell lifetime. It’ll be over at least 23mil. 

Fun fact 4: Many games have outsold previous installments lifetime. Ex BotW, Japan alone is over 2mil by now and Worldwide Twilight Princess was at 8mil and BotW is more than doubled that and will become triple in sales when it’s done selling. AC NH doubling NL is doable

Fun fact 5; AC is going to surpass SSBU quite soon, it’ll be beyond 20mil WW by years end let alone lifetime