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If Nintendo continues to keep Switch successful, with more third party games, continued big first party hitters, a "Pro" version, and price cuts I would guess a reasonable sales guess would be ~70 million in 2020, ~90 million in 2021, 105 million in 2022, 115 million in 2023 (assuming a late Switch 2 release of March 2024), 120 million in 2024, maybe ultimately settling at 123 million or so. I still think that'll put PS4 at least a couple million ahead of the Switch, but saying it might not pass 100 million is absurd.