LurkerJ on 06 April 2020
I would like it, if for once, I turn on the TV to watch a journalist asking questions that's in the mind of many of us and not the usual daily reporting. Some of mine:
- The end point of all the predictive models is August, what happens after August? What happens when the measures are put in place are no longer followed, either because we're fatigued or because they're officially lifted?
- Officials, including Boris, insist on using the term "delay" the spread. I have yet to hear an official statement talking about stopping the spread. Are we all going to be infected at some point? It seems like it's a realistic conclusion.
- We're not being told what's going to happen in September because non of the models extend beyond August.
- What are the metrics for success? What are we compromising for? It's understandable what the metrics for success in the first few months, but how about a year from now?
- If modeling is all we have to base our decisions on, at what point do the models suggest that the amounts of deaths that are going to be prevented over the next year, not just the next 3 months, are worthy of shutting down the economy?
- Where are the models about how wrecked the economy will be for each country 3 months from now?
- What happens if we don't get more stimulus bills and what happens if we do? What will be the outcome a universal basic income is adopted at a global level?
- Are the models taking into consideration the fact that they're local and whatever decisions that are based on them are not being implemented internationally?
- For example the states of the UNITED states of America and the members of the European UNION have taken different paths in their attempt to deal with the current situation, which is a joke. Scientifically, literally everyone has to be on the same page for the lockdwons to work & be effective but that's not the case. What are the consequences of that and what do we do about it? If such unions are failing to unite what shall we expect from the rest of the world?
- This is going to be a years-long problem that can only end with a vaccine, isn't it?
- If that's the case, at what point do the models predict that staying home is gonna become a bigger problem for public health than lifting the lid and letting the virus spread ?
- What countries are not pushing for lockdowns and trying to give herd immunity a chance? Should we have a list of these countries and compare their long-term outcome to countries who are for prolonged lockdowns?
Essay Pro