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John2290 said:
drkohler said:

Any muslim country is suspect in that regard. For religious reasons, dead people have to be buried asap and no tests are done of course. And the medical systems in many of those countries probably cannot deal with it).

What people really want to know is the real numbers in China. Absolutely noone believes the offical numbers from the government. Two weeks ago, the chinese Ueberguru visited Wuhan and since then, absolutely no local politician or any doctors might have dared tell of more deaths (making the Ueberguru lose his face which is an absolute no-no in Asia, that would probably mean instant disappearance or other fates like it happened to the first doctor that made noise).

Yeah, there is no way China gave the real numbers. I'm leaning towards, atm, 7% mortality rate when everything is closed up and hospitals return to a relative normal before handling a second outbreak or smaller waves. It's def not 3.4%, That's for damn sure unless China has 50 times the ICU beds as any other nation in the world and the staff to man them. We'll never know how many died from apartment buildings being welded shut for six weeks either. 

Please, do explain how you come to an estimate more than twice as grim than what any medical expert has suggested.