Coronavirus (COVID-19) Discussion Thread

[Bofferbrauer2]

SvennoJ said:

SvennoJ said:

Another day passed. The average global growth factor for the last seven days was 1.18

Based on these trends, the top 5 tomorrow would look like:
[01] Italy: 53545 (+6525)
[05] US: 27158 (+7776)
[02] Spain: 25554 (+3983)
[03] Germany: 25508 (+5660)
[04] Iran: 20881 (+1237)

The average global growth factor for the last seven days dropped to 1.17, looks like mostly from Germany reporting less than half of expected.

The actual top 5 today (or yesterday atm) was
Italy: 53578 (+6557)
USA: 26863 (+7480)
Spain: 25496 (+3925)
Germany: 22364 (+2516)
Iran: 20610 (+966)

Germany suddenly dropped to half of the trend it was following. Different testing in the weekend? Did they get on top of testing? The USA is also making a hitch in the stats by showing 2656 cases for today (3-22) that were still counted to yesterday two hours earlier. I added them to yesterday (3-21) for now. Maybe something similar happened in Germany, what counts for what day. It will average out again.

Italy keeps testing more and finding less positives as a percentage of tests but is still very closely following the 1.10x growth. Hopefully tomorrow it will start to decline. 1.10x would put tomorrow at +7213 new cases. Hopefully it's less.

Huh? Germany is at 25554, don't know where you got those numbers?