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crissindahouse on 25 February 2020
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SvennoJ said:
crissindahouse said:

I wonder why he believes that 40-70% of the world population will get it within one year. Right now it doesn't seem like this will happen. Chinese numbers don't climb that fast anymore. You have some thousand new cases per day but that was the same a week or two ago.

And I also can't believe this will happen in Northern America, Europe, Australia and so on. I guess it could spread super fast in as example many African or other very poor countries, though (if it survives the temperatures there)

The flu doesn't spread in first world countries? The primary source for flu etc to spread are schools. Getting kids has been an enormous stress on my wife's immune system from the moment they went to school. Avoid people with kids!

It does but what I meant is that we know much faster about if someone has the virus in better developed countries and we have probably much better measurements against it. If some people in Kinshasa (or smaller less developed towns) will be infected I'm not sure if it will be even recognized before you already have hundreds of infected who will infect thousands more before they will be in quarantine. 

I just don't see half of Europe, China or USA/Canada to be infected by it. I mean, right now it does look as if the number of new infections per day in China doesn't increase much anymore but it needs to be much worse to reach 50% of the population.