| Bofferbrauer2 said: Keep in mind it takes a while between being infected and dying from the infection. Due to this, your 2% is simply too low.If you rather compare the number of deaths vs recoveries, then you'll reach 10%. By that regard, the 230M figure is actually rather conservative |
Nope, I'll continue comparing deaths vs infected because that is the only objective measure here. When you get infected, you need to know how that compares to those dying of that same infection, the rest is only partial statistics. Those who are recovering are neither part of the healed nor the dead, therefore they cannot be added to the final figure and thus for the time being 2% to 3% of those infected die and 97% live or are alive, that's just fact.
Then you are making your figures even more incorrect by correlating your 10% to 230 million deaths. EVEN if your 10% of casualties were true (which so far they absolutely are not), you'd still need 2.3 billion people infected to get 230 million or 10% of them dead. This is so beyond the reality as to be downright absurd, and the icing on the cake is you saying these are conservative estimates?
We have 2500 dead and you are already telling me that somehow you know for sure that there will be 230 million casualties as the BEST case scenario but due to that scenario being a conservative one, we must expect how many dead? 300 million? 400 million?
You guys watch too many Hollywood movies and got those mixed up with reality. What you are describing is the result of some super virus and at this point nothing suggests that we are dealing with such a threat and since such a super virus has never taken place in recorded history, I'll continue believing this virus is no different from any other viruses already existing, its only strength resides in the fact that we don't have at this point a cure for it, that's all, but I heard in the news that they expect to get one within a year and a half or so.
Bottom line is we need to keep an eye on this corona virus of course cause it's still a nasty bug but that does not make it some kind of end-of-the-world threat. You guys need not panic, at least not yet.
