Official 2020 US Election: Democratic Party Discussion

[Bofferbrauer2]

jason1637 said:
Biden did better than expected in Nevada. Hopefully he wins South Carolina and can retake the frontrunner tittle at Super Tuesday.

He could win SC, that's for sure. Latest polls still show him in the lead there, albeit barely now instead of a 20 points lead before Iowa.

However, among Super Tuesday states Sanders is pretty much safe in the first spot in California, Colorado, Maine, Vermont and Utah, and is very competitive in many others, including Texas, where Bernie has a small lead now. Biden probably will win one state (Alabama), just like Bloomberg (Oklahoma) and Klobuchar (Minnesota), if the numbers stay the same after the Nevada results, with the other ones being contested or the last polls being so old that I dismissed them (Tennessee for instance had it's only poll last July).

In other words, What Biden can achieve just ain't enough to make him the frontrunner again, just enough to potentially stop his drop. But as we could see with Warren today, even a standout performance isn't always enough to save your campaign from further slipping down.

Last edited by Bofferbrauer2 - on 23 February 2020