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I think people underestimate next gen consoles. PS4 was sold out everywhere, Sony underestimated the demand by a lot, this time they'll be ready for a huge launch. Not only that, but also PS5 will come to Japan this year (PS4 released in Japan in February 2014). Now you may say "But PS5 won't be as successfull in Japan" yes but it'll still sell at least 500K at worst, which is still a good advantage over PS4.

I'll be very surprised if PS5 sell less than 5 million this year, even at 500$.

And if the rumor of Series X having 2 SKUs (one at a very accessible price) are true, it'll also sell way more than XB1 3m in 2013 those 2 SKUs combined.