What do you want in a Switch 2?

[Soundwave]

RolStoppable said:

Soundwave said:

By the end of this year likely you're going to have 

Zelda 3D (x2) + Zelda 2D (x1)

Mario 3D (x1 or 2 possibly) Mario 2D (x2)

Mario Kart

Smash

Animal Crossing 

Pokemon (several times over)

Fire Emblem

Splatoon 

Donkey Kong Country

Xenoblade

Mario Party

Already with major instalments on the system ... what other IP do they have past the above that would cause a massive hardware boost. 

Nintendo systems don't fade down the stretch by accident, it's likely tied to the above issue as much as anything else. You can only sell so much selling to same people that are interested in a group of about 8 IP before you start hitting diminishing returns. 

The DS was able to bypass that by taping into touch casual gaming before smartphones existed and creating a second swing audience that way, but Switch isn't going to have a 20 million+ selling Nintendogs or Brain Training most likely. 

How often have previous Nintendo consoles received new installments - of the 8 IPs you mentioned in your previous post - after their fourth year on the market? That is what you have to look at if you want to examine diminishing returns down the stretch.

It looks a lot more like the absence of new installments after the fourth year correlates with declining hardware sales, rather than the conclusion you want to draw.

Wii received a new Mario Galaxy and a new Zelda down the stretch ... didn't stop steep sales declines. 3DS has gotten a pretty steady diet of Pokemon games as its sales have declined. 

If you liked Mario games, how many Mario starring games do you need before you decide you need that hardware anyway, lol. If the first 7 games with Mario in them prominently didn't do it I doubt the audience that is going to go nuts for the 8th one is suddenly going to cause a huge surge (ie: the person who won't buy a Switch for Mario Odyssey, NSMBU, Mario Party, Mario Maker, Mario Odyssey 2, Mario Kart ... but Paper Mario is what they're waiting on before buying ... how big really is that type of an audience going to be). 

The other issue is there tends to be a lot of overlap with these audiences ... Mario fans tend to probably like Zelda or Pokemon too and vice versa. 

Last edited by Soundwave - on 10 January 2020