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JWeinCom said:
zorg1000 said:

How much are you thinking and why?

How much do I want to bet, or how much am I thinking?

Assuming it's the latter, look at the sales of the other games. Even the weakest entry did nearly 500K in Japan.  I think that having gone a hiatus will eliminate some possible burnout, and with that combined with the overall success of the Switch and a relatively light release schedule atm, I'd be surprised if it does under 500K worldwide.  As for 250K, it could probably hit that in its first month.

You might want to look at the series sales again

https://sites.google.com/site/gamedatalibrary/game-search

Blue/Red Rescue Team (2005)-1477k

Explorers of Time/Darkness (2007)-1552k

Explores of Sky (2009)-448k

Gates to Infinity (2012)-405k

Super Mystery Dungeon (2015)-296k

Switch boost only applies to the West where 3DS did mediocre, it doesn't apply to Japan where it is the 3rd best selling platform of all time.

You can see this by comparing Switch to 3DS entries like 2D Zelda, Fire Emblem, Kirby, Yoshi, Donkey Kong, Luigi's Mansion, etc.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.