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curl-6 on 11 December 2019
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zorg1000 said:
curl-6 said:

I just can't see the PS4 dropping off that fast unless they are super stubborn with pricing and never drop it to $200 or less. It's looking likely PS5 will be a $500 box, which leaves a lot of room for a cheap entry-level alternative in its first couple years.

You're not really giving any concrete reasons why you believe that though and I've explained in multiple ways why it's unlikely to happen.

PS1/PS2 had such great legs thanks to emerging markets, those markets have grown significantly since then and PS4 got off to a much stronger start.

PS4 has been dropping at a faster rate than PS3 for the last 3 years.

PS3+360 were not popular entry-level alternatives after PS4/XBO released at $400-500 despite being sub-$200 with discounts to $100-150.

There is no if about Sony being stubborn with price reductions, the Slim & Pro models released over 3 years ago and have never gotten a permanent price cut and they have gone with the same price for 3 BF in a row.

The combination of all these things means that PS4 is unlikely to have extraordinary legs after PS5 releases, it will be just like PS3/360 and be an afterthought once the successors releases.

I just find it hard to imagine PS4 not selling another 26 million from now until its discontinuation given how quickly it's reached 100 million and how strong its sales still are. PS5 is looking likely to be more expensive than PS4 at launch so I don't think it will kill off its predecessor as quickly.