Global Hardware 26 October 2019

[KBG29]

Dulfite said:

KBG29 said:

Really? Who would have thought 2018 was peak?

I think we could have made a pretty strong case for 2019 being the peak year as far back as 2017, but was there ever really a case to be made for 2018?

With a proper Pokemon title this year, the Lite model, and very likely a good Black Friday deal, combine with the introduction on PS5 and XB4 in 2020, I think it is almost a certainty that 2019 will be the peak for Switch.

The only question going forward is, is it the next DS, or will it follow in the foot steps of Wii and 3DS, and just hit a wall?

First year buyers, and particularly first few months buyers (I suspect PS5 and XB4 will launch late 2020 for holidays perhaps), are usually just the hardcores. More casuals will wait until the software lineup fills a bit more, for marketing to focus on them, and for price cuts on consoles/games. I think, if these two launch late enough 2020, that 2020 could perhaps be Switch's peak year with a price cut, potential pro version released, and the insane sellability/legs of Animal Crossing. And you never know, they could have a Pokemon remake planned for holiday 2020 of Diamon/Pearl for all we know.

Solid points. It is possible that PS5/XB4 won't have any effect on Switch until 2021. This is why I love watching sales, it is going to be some exciting times over the next 2 - 3 years with Stadia, Switch, PS5, and XB4! What is the market going to loook like by 2022? It could be a totally different landscape compared to today. I wish all competitors the best of luck.