Famitsu Sales: W39, 2019 (Sep 23 - Sep 29)

[kopstudent89]

zorg1000 said:

StarDoor said:

I wouldn't bank on 5M. There are only 13 weeks left, so Switch would need to sell an average of about 191k per week for the rest of the year.

Last year during the final 13 weeks, Switch averaged 132k.
During its best holiday quarter, 3DS averaged 178k per week.
Even the DS only managed to beat a 191k average once: In its best year, 2006, it averaged 197k for the period.

So for Switch to hit 5M, it would need to reach peak-DS-level sales. It would be cool, but it's not very likely.

We pretty much just posted the same thing lol

I think it will fall somewhere 4.5-4.8 million (2-2.3m for Q4) range which puts it right there with the best 3DS holiday quarters (2011-2.2m, 2012-2.3m, 2013-1.8m).

I've just been schooled on video game sales

But seriously that's good stuff. I did think 5m was a bit too optimistic but my thought process was that the Switch Lite + Pokemon combo might just do it. As both of you mentioned it's gonna have to do historical numbers which is highly unlikely. 

2-2.3m is a fair estimate but the Switch in Japan still has someways to grow and the Switch Lite might do some interesting things there.