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xMetroid said:
Even if it drops below 90k during October, i really don't see it dropping below 70k tho, like the Switch was above 50k already and they aren't cannibalizing eachother. There is still DQ to be released and will boost for beginning of October, LM3 at the end, and the November sales will go up approaching holidays and Pokemon.

Don't think Switch will go below 300k WW until february

Switch got pushed above 50k by the recent release of the new base model, otherwise it would have been more around 40k, maybe slightly below that since we only got 46k on Obon Week.

Yes, DQ XI S should boost early October sales, and Luigi should do so at the very end... but there's nothing in between those two except Story of Seasons. Maybe Ring Fit Adventure and the Yokay Watch remake can push some sales, too, but that's about it in between both releases. So sales will dip there, how much we'll see. I do agree that my 50k is the absolute baseline and I was expecting more like 60k, hence why I said 50k or 60k in that post. But 90k was simply too high for a baseline when no big game comes out.

As fot your last sentence, it will probably drop a bit below 300k in January and February, but I expect both months to stay above 250k. March, with Animal Crossing release, could be able to have a median 300k, though.