I think Nintendo could win, but they wouldn't sell 101 million. More like 90 million.
It's dependent on first-party. If Nintendo sucks at getting HD games out in the first two years, they might be in trouble. The price will help a lot, since it would still be cheaper than its competitors. But from a tech standpoint, it's a less unique console. I voted that Nintendo would win, but it's a big if. Have Virtual Console from the start like in real life, and get some killer first party apps out in the first year-and-a-half.
I don't think I've seen anyone say that Japanese developers would absolutely be flocking to Nintendo in this case. With the PS3 lagging behind, why not put a lot of 3rd party exclusives on Nintendo's HD platform?
Lifetime Sales Predictions
Switch: 151 million (was 73, then 96, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million)
PS5: 115 million (was 105 million) Xbox Series S/X: 57 million (was 60 million, then 67 million)
PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)
3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)
"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima
