Can Nintendo clear its FY2019 forecast in only 3 quarters ?

[Bofferbrauer2]

Barkley said:

Switch had shipped 2.79m more than it had sold to consumers by the end of Q3 last fiscal year.

Switch needs to have shipped 52.74m by the end of December to clear it's FY forecast in just the first 3 quarters. So if you assume a similar amount of surplus shipped then Switch will need to sell to consumers 20.47m this calendar year.

I'm going to predict 17m shipped in the first 3 quarters.

FY2019 Q1 : 2.13 M

FY2019 Q2 : 3.9 M

FY2019 Q3 : 11 M

Another 3m+ in FY2019 Q4 bringing the total for the FY above 20m.

Not impossible, but it all depends on how well the Lite will do... and how well Pokemon SwoSh will do.

We will get some indication during the next quarterly results. If preorders and initial sales and demand of the Lite is very high, I'm sure there's a possibility that Nintendo ups the forecast then already by a million or two.