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curl-6 on 21 July 2019
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Mbolibombo said:
curl-6 said:

I don't think it's that bold.

PS4 has been $300 for a long time, I think a drop to $250 then later $200 would bring in a large influx of low budget buyers, and that with PS5 looking to be a $500 proposition, a cheap $200 alternative will do well into 2021 and even 2022 much like PS2 did into 2006 and beyond.

There's also market saturation. The writings are on the wall, PS4 has dropped off significantly this year and I dont think it has much to do with price. I dont think priced down revisions will do as much as some expect. It's definately going to help but we're still looking at 32M+ for hardware, the console market is not the same now as it was when the PS2 was the evergreen console. Though one must consider that it's possible that PS5 takes the early route of PS3 and if that was to happen.. it would definately help the PS4's legs. I dont think Sony will make that mistake again though.

I don't think market saturation will be a limiting factor here as once you drop to $250 and especially $200 you reach whole new segments of the market for whom $300 was too much. I think people are really underestimating how much a pricecut will do for PS4.

And while I don't expect PS5 to repeat PS3's mistakes, I think it's likely to be $500 which would leave room for PS4 to coexist for the first few years of the PS5 as an affordable $200 entry level system.

I find it hard to see it doing less than 130 million lifetime when its nearing 100 million while still selling decently at $300.