PS4/XBO/NS - 2018 vs. 2019 - Week 52 Numbers Added; Final 2019 Totals

[Bofferbrauer2]

PAOerfulone said:

Even with a price cut, I don't think they're gonna pull it off. It's already too much of a deficit to overcome and in terms of sales' effect no Black Friday deal Sony has planned for this year is going to top the $199 Spider-Man PS4 bundle of last year, especially when put up against the Switch now that it will reach that $199 handheld price point along with Pokemon Sword/Shield.

Same here. They would really need to slash the price by $100 to even have a shot at 16M now. And the longer they wait, the higher the chances to reach only 15M or just 14M, maybe even just 13M if they don't cut the price at all outside of promotions.

PAOerfulone said:

Now that we're halfway through the year, let's do some math.

At this point last year, the PlayStation 4, Xbox One, and Nintendo Switch sold through 38.9812223%, 32.06302907%, and 29.71417668% of their final 2018 totals respectively.
If those same percentages hold for this year, these would be the projected final yearly totals for all three systems in 2019:

PlayStation 4 - 13,444,532
Xbox One - 4,922,161
Nintendo Switch - 20,424,830

Sony needs to give the PS4 a price cut NOW! RIGHT NOW! There's nothing Microsoft can do for the Xbox One that will make it's situation any better. And the Switch Lite just threw a monkey wrench into how the Switch will turn out, there's no telling at the moment if it'll be lower or higher than the number I have projected here, that's the most interesting thing to watch for.

Chances are that the Switch will be up. Way up. Maybe even Wii peak year numbers possible in the end if the Lite is very successful. But to gauge that correctly, we'll have to wait and see how the preorders for the Lite will play out, and since they're not open yet, it's just a waiting game for now.

Last edited by Bofferbrauer2 - on 12 July 2019