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CosmicSex said:
At the current rate it would take the Xbox and Switch about 5 years to break even with PS4 (due entirely to poor Xbox sales). Another way for them to reach 50% would be for PS4 to basically stop selling. Thats not gonna happen so unless people want to go the distance with this one, I think its safe to call this 50%+ for PS4.

Not a safe call at all tbh.

Using the present rate of gain fails to take into account that while PS4 isn't just going to stop selling, it will decline from here on out, while Switch still has lots of room to grow.

Lifetime, it's quite probable we'll end up looking at around 50 million for Xbone and over 100 million for Switch, so PS4 would have to sell more than 150 million to retain 50% marketshare. Assuming it's not a PS3-tier fuckup, PS5's likely arrival in late 2020 will cut PS4's legs substantially, preventing it from reaching that high.