When (if at all) Do You Think the NS Hardware Sales LTD Will Overtake XOne's?

[Mr Puggsly]

mZuzek said:

Mr Puggsly said:

X1 will definitely decline if last gen is any indication. The same year X1 and PS4 was announced the 7th gen consoles declined.

But if MS says there will be continued support of X1, that could help with potential sales. I'm guessing X1 will be closer to 5 million in 2019, I don't think X1 crossing 50 million is a guarantee this year.

Personally I think a smart move would be to release a final revision of the base X1 that actually switches to a faster RAM and GPU boost at par with PS4. A remodel like that at $199 could stimulate some sales and give better performance to the existing library. Not sure if that's in the cards though, maybe MS will sooner discontinue the X1S and push the X1X as the budget console after revisions.

Hence, how the X1 performs in 2019 and even 2020 depends on how MS positions X1/X1X with 9th gen around the corner. I anticipate the cross gen support for X1 will be pretty good, certainly better than what 360 had.

Is it really next-gen time already, though? Feels like it hasn't been long at all since the XBO/PS4 reveals, but it's almost 6 years ago already. Yikes.

Well, in any case. Of course XBO sales will decline, that'll happen regardless of whether a successor is revealed this year or not (or a PS5 for that matter, it'd probably affect its sales too), the question is how much.

Right, when the new consoles launch it will have been about 7 years.

For what its worth we're still like 20 months away from that and still plenty to play until then, but I do believe 8th gen should take a hit from the hype of 9th gen.

Actually the X1 has been pretty stable even without a big number of exclusives to push. I mean the X1's 2018 sales should be at or better than 2017. The only thing that I can see hurting the X1's sales this year is 9th gen hype. Again, I wouldn't be surprised if the X1 declined to like 5 million.

But what if MS delivers big news for the 9th gen AND the X1 at E3? Maybe they could a announce a slew of games planned for the 9th gen and that same content is also coming to X1. Hence, they could still get people hyped about X1 content at the next two E3 events, that would help with some of the decline.