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It depends on how long it takes for Sony and Microsoft to release a new generation or (however unlikely it is) drop out of video game consoles.

I think the approximate turning point is Autumn 2020. If that period passes and the PS4 and X1 haven't been succeeded yet, then the Switch is a late entry to the 8th generation. The same thing happened with the Atari 5200 and Sega Master System, both of which succeeded another console in the same generation.

If Sony and Microsoft HAVE released new consoles by that point, then we have something more akin to the TurboGrafx-16, 3DO, and Dreamcast, as a 9th gen console released early.



Love and tolerate.