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Here is the week 49 update in terms of the two big consoles in Japan's path to be able to reach the commonly stated (in these sales threads) estimates for 2018 sales (2 mil for PS4, 4 mil for Switch) .

  TWS GD YTD % Goal AWN (Change)
PS4 74,496 -70,074 1,496,214 74.8% (+3.7) 167,928 (+23,358)
Switch 281,222 -89,213 2,799,481 70.0% (+7.0) 400,173 (+29,738)

TWS - This week's sales
GD - Goal differential, the difference between the average week needed from last week compared to this week's sales
YTD - Units sold in 2018 so far including this week's sales
AWN - Average weekly sales needed to reach the estimate for the console.

Huge week over week increases for both systems. Smash debuts incredibly strong and the PS4 promotion if off to a good start. I was well under both systems on my estimates though after overestimating Switch the first 2 weeks I'm about even now, but the promo threw off my PS4 predictions entirely.

Personal Estimates


NS: 120k, 145k, 240k, 200k, 295k, 250k = 1.25m would end just above 3.5 mil for the calendar year.

PS4: 20k, 25k, 30k, 25k, 40k, 30k = 170k would end up just above 1.5 mil for the calendar year.