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KBG29 said:
Kerotan said:
Looking at the sales from the PS4 and expecting another big year in 2019, it makes no sense to release the PS5 next year. Even 2020 PS4 sales should be big. Ideally 2021 launch but due to Xbox I'm afraid Sony will go with 2020 at the latest.

I still think a PS4 Premium in 2019 on 7nm, with PS5 in 2021 - 2022 on 7nm+ would have been the best move. PS5 in 2020 is landing in a period between the transition from HDD to SSD, and Rasterization to Ray Tracing. 

PS4 Premium would have given the the definitive 4K console, while PS5 could launch at a reasonable price, with all sorts of next gen bells and whistles.

I just hope the rushed launch of the PS5 and XB4 does not result in outdated tech. Microsoft and Sony need to bite the bullet, and deliver M.2 NVMe Storage and GPU's that can deliver Ray Tracing. If not, Next Gen is going to be a major disappointment, with far outdated tech at launch. 

As I have mentioned before, if Sony and MS half ass these consoles, Apple, Google, and Amazon will be ready to pounce. Google is already making their entrance into the gaming market clear, and they will not paint their ecosystem into a box. Sony and Microsoft have to be aware, or they will end up seeing their Home Entertainment Platforms go the same way as Handhelds.

I've been pondering this too. PS5 is doable, but there seems to be too much question about what the right direction to take is and what the launch price should be. GDDR6 will even be quite new since Nvidia cards just launched with it. GDDR5 was first seen on ATI (AMD) cards in 2008, and consoles didn't see it until 2013, and only for PS4. CPU and GPU wouldn't really be an issue at all though. For the next couple of years, some tech will be transitioning at a time that isn't really beneficial to a console generational transition.

PS did say they were going to crouch down once more before they grow after fiscal 2020 (March 2021). This could mean another process shrink so PS4 28nm-> PS4+Pro 16nm-> PS4+Pro 4k 10nm. Launch a PS4 SS and a new Pro 4K. Spec it at 6-8TF, 12-16GB GDDR5, 8 custom advanced jaguar cores at around 2.5GHz, with a 2TB HDD, and price it at $399 again. A 4k/30 console quite similar to the XB1X to directly compete for another 2 or 3 years before next gen drops.

The problem I see with this, is it will make marketing the PS5 even tougher because if Pro 4k can typically hit full 4k, then PS5 would have to rely much more on things like 60fps and ray tracing. Unless they push for 5k or something like that. This would allow PS5 to launch holiday 2021 or later and would make the next hardware leap a much more straightforward decision. With the XB typical 4 year cycle, that would mean a 2021 launch for Scarlet as well. It would basically be a 'year early' for PS5 but PS could then definitely price it at $499 and make it a worthy jump for the loyalists and spec heads.

With the 'year of radio silence' coming up, it makes me think there's little chance they could be planning on extending this gen beyond 2020, unless they have a handful of games they are building up to announce alongside another PS4 upgrade. Pro did skip e3 though and was announced later in 2016, so why deviate for a Pro 4k reveal in 2019?

Last edited by EricHiggin - on 23 November 2018