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What is your forecast for Japan ? Which game from the west will sell better on PS4: Red Dead Redemption 2 or Spiderman?

Vote in the poll :) And write a comment, if you like. In a few days the new game will be released by Rockstar Games. We know that Spiderman has strong sales in Japan / impressive numbers for a western game. Both are among the most successful games, thats sure! But which title will sell better on PS4 in japan ? It's very exciting :)