DélioPT said:
curl-6 said:
You talk as though Switch rocked up when PS4/Xbone were on their last legs, but that's not the case; its first year and a half is overlapping with the peak years of PS4/Xbone. If it could hold its own against one of the most successful platforms in history at the height of its power, it's not going to be any problem for it when PS5/Nextbox turn up.
To return to the Savanna, if a bigger species of Lion turned up in the ecosystem, it would not unduly affect the vultures, because they would carry on doing their own thing, filling a different ecological role, and not directly competing.
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If that's what you understood, then i'm sorry.
What i tried to say was this: Switch succeed because the market, which was already in the 80+ million consoles sold, had had enough time to be satisfied and didn't see next gen PS or XB consoles in the near future to be excited for (mindshare) and/or save Money for. And as Switch presented itself as a very reasonable purchase, that satisfied market bought it.
And that's why PS4 and XB1 could afford hitting it's peak and staying pretty much flat, respectively, in 2017.
We are not talking about a small existing market before Switch arrived, nor are we talking about average sales for Switch, btw.
To me, the conditions were perfect for Switch to succeed: same users, 80+ million consoles sold already, attractive concept and killer titles and no new competition in sight.
Also, there's a difference when your sales bring the competition's sales down and when they don't. The context needs to be taken into account.
From what i have been Reading, XB1 is now having it's best year.
As i said before, releasing when you already have the above conditions and releasing when you have to directly fight off other consoles, makes up for a completely different outcome. Even if for the simplest reason of them all: people aren't made of money nor do they have an infinite amount of time.
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When PS5/Nextbox arrive though, they'll likely still be offering a totally different value proposition to the Switch, so just as it is now with PS4/Xbone, consumers won't be choosing between one or the other, they'll get both if they're interested in both, as evidenced by that recent survey showing 70% of Switch owners in the US had a PS4/Xbone.
Switch will not be directly fighting PS5/Nextbox because they'll be totally different products that consumers will buy for totally different reasons, just like microwaves don't compete directly with refrigerators and family cars don't compete directly with racing cars.
Last edited by curl-6 - on 04 October 2018
