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DélioPT said:

curl-6 said:

The fact their sales don't impact each other shows that they exist in separate niches that do not directly compete, and since PS5/Nextbox will almost certainly inherit the same niche as PS4/Xbone, Switch will remain unaffected. People will continue to buy PS/Xbox for the AAA blockbusters, and Switch for the flexibility the hybrid concept offers and the first party exclusives.

The only way the next PS/Xbox can significantly affect Switch is if those companies try to push Nintendo out of their niche by launching a competing hybrid, which is highly unlikely.

I wouldn't call it niches, but ok.
When they go after the sames market (age demographics, markets), then they are competing. The difference is that Switch was released at a time where it hadn't to compete directly and the real competitors were 2-3 years away.

That direct competition will only come when PS4 and XB1 users have to determine if PS5/XB2 are indeed their main console or not. So far, the signs are that Switch isn't more than a complement, because well, people don't have to choose between Switch and something. There's just no other something.

The first thing that Sony and MS need to do to attack Switch is presenting new platforms.
Then, when people will have to choose between Switch and more, is where we will see how they can coexist and for how long.


You talk as though Switch rocked up when PS4/Xbone were on their last legs, but that's not the case; its first year and a half is overlapping with the peak years of PS4/Xbone. If it could hold its own against one of the most successful platforms in history at the height of its power, it's not going to be any problem for it when PS5/Nextbox turn up.

To return to the Savanna, if a bigger species of Lion turned up in the ecosystem, it would not unduly affect the vultures, because they would carry on doing their own thing, filling a different ecological role, and not directly competing.