70% of Switch Owners in the USA own a PS4 or Xbox One

[Bofferbrauer2]

outlawauron said:

Bofferbrauer2 said:

Well considering that SMP is coming out before RDR2 and BOIIII, I'd say quite a few will buy SMP first. Especially if you consider it's preorders in the US (Amazon and Gamestop at least) where it's doing very well for months while both RDR2 and BOIIII just recently really started to climb up the preorder ranks.

Also, not so sure for the 20M. WW2 is at 19M retail PS4 and XBO combined, while RDR is at 13M combined. We will have to see how much the lack of singleplayer campaign and the changes will affect BOIIII, while RDR2 will need to expand it's playerbase by 50%. While it's certainly far from impossible, it won't be as easy as you seem to think.

Considering the digital ratios for major western games on PS4/X1, it's more likely to be over 30m than not. That's discounting PC sales too, while much lower than consoles sales are still a couple million. I'm not sure why you'd really debate RDR2 either. Quite a lot of hype built for it that the first did not have. While I'm not as bullish as some (I've seen tons of 20m+ predictions in 2018 alone), it's going to be a huge success.

I thought you were talking about retail.

Anyway, with digital and PC I agree BOIIII will get past the 20M mark.

Still not sure with RDR2 though. While the first one didn't have the hype, it resulted into selling well over time and not being frontloaded, only a third of the sales were during the launch window (first 2 months). I expect RDR2 to be much more frontloaded, selling well until Christmas and then tapering off to the depths of the sales charts. It all depends if the game sells well enough during this holiday season imo.