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Farsala said:
Slownenberg said:

I think he's referring to Valkyria Chronicles 4 (and I think the original VC as well), Mega Man 11, and Fifa all coming out just before Mario Party. But yeah those games plus Mario Party are nothing compared to Odyssey. Late september and early October will probably be up from last year, but then late October until Let's Go in mid-november will certainly be down from the Mario bump last year.

I see he said late September/ early October when I said late October/ early November. Those small releases will help marginally, especially Mario Party, but they won't match the increase it got last year.

The thing is that, as Zorg pointed out, it would need to drop below 33k weekly to fall behind last year's sales again. I just pointed out that with all those releases, it's just very unlikely that sales will drop anywhere near that low and this year should have a healthy lead over last year when Odyssey will drop. While this will gobble up a big part of the lead, it can only do so much until Pokémon Let's Go and especially Smash will land and massively increase the lead over last year again.