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Smash. It's going to be the best selling game in the franchise ever and is the most hyped Switch game since Odyssey (I'd say hype levels trump Odyssey even). Pokemon Let's Go will sell decently, but the new game next year will cut it's legs. Mario Party is a bit of a dark horse, it's looking to be much better quality than the last few entries in the series, and on the Switch it's a perfect fit, I can see it doing 5m+, perhaps greatly exceeding that, but only if Nintendo market it well.