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It's probably not gonna happen, if it does, I think it would be the slowest starting Q1 for any 20 million fiscal year that any company for any hardware ever in the business.

That said something like 18 mill isn't necessarily the end of the world especially if software attach rates continue to be this strong. Nintendo just needs to take the lesson that they can't have weak Q1/Q2 and "experiments" like Labo are alright but this is not the Wii/DS era where you can be banking 6-8 month periods on the success of products like that. Those are not the kinds of games that are going to drive Switch hardware adoption.