It did roughly 1.3 million last year with trouble meeting stock, Super Mario Odyssey launching just before that first week of November and the only notable first party title in that November/December window was Xenoblade Chronicles 2.
With their lineup of Pokemon and Smash Bros., plus being able to meet demand, I think it would be colossally disappointing if the best it can do this year is match last year's total. It should beat last year very comfortably. I'm expecting around 1.6-1.8 million.
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