It did roughly 1.3 million last year with trouble meeting stock, Super Mario Odyssey launching just before that first week of November and the only notable first party title in that November/December window was Xenoblade Chronicles 2.
With their lineup of Pokemon and Smash Bros., plus being able to meet demand, I think it would be colossally disappointing if the best it can do this year is match last year's total. It should beat last year very comfortably. I'm expecting around 1.6-1.8 million.
Hardware Comparison Threads:
Current Thread
Is Hardware Getting TOO Powerful?
Older Threads:
PlayStation/Xbox/Switch: 2022 Edition
PlayStation/Xbox/Switch Hardware Battle: 2021 Edition!
PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2019 vs. 2020
PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2018 vs. 2019
PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2017 vs. 2018
PlayStation 4: 2015 vs. 2016 vs. 2017