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It'd better not release later than 2019. This is already the longest wait between Animal Crossing games, and if it doesn't release by March 2019, it'll also be the longest wait between a console's launch and its Animal Crossing game being released, excluding N64 for obvious reasons.

The AC/Splatoon team hardly needs much more development time at this point. They already have tons of HD assets from amiibo Festival, Pocket Camp, and Mario Kart 8.

Also, your proposed lineup without Animal Crossing would be even weaker than what Nintendo has this year. At least in 2018 we're getting 2 games with 10M+ potential. It would be ridiculous to only have one such game next year, especially since it would mean relying on Pokemon two years in a row. That's not to say Nintendo wouldn't do something like that, but still. Ridiculous.