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Megiddo said:

What upcoming games does Switch have (post Octopath/Captain Toad) that will keep it above 42k through week 42?

I know the Taiko drum game is coming up in a few weeks. Not really sure about anything else though.

Some of the bigger bigger titles releasing:

Sonic Mania Plus (July 19)

Disgaea 1 Complete, Megaman X Legacy collection 1+2, Go Vacation (July 26)

SaGa: Scarlet grace (Juli 31)

Overcooked 2 (August 7)

Okami, Layton's Mystery Journey (August 9)

SNK Heroines (September 6)

Steins;Gate Elite (September 20)

Dragonball Fighter Z, Valkyria Chronicles, Valkyria Chronicles 4, Fifa 19, Warriors Orochi 4, The World Ends with you (September 27)

 

So yeah, August post-Obon week is a bit light, but it cuts the slack in late September again. Of course, some games like Dark Souls are set to release then too, but have no release date yet.