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Green098 on 11 July 2018
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Megiddo said:
Green098 said:

With Switch already up year over year by 200k, and it doing 3.3 million in 2017 I think it'll be fine.

October, November and December 2017 Nintendo Switch's biggest new games in Japan were Mario Odyssey and far lesser extent Xenoblade 2. While in 2018 it's getting Super Mario Party, Pokemon, Smash and Yokai Watch 4 was just confirmed for this Winter in Japan as well by corocoro.

We can't be far from Splatoon 2 though, right? And after its impact just as the PS4 might fall behind YoY so might the Switch. Taken from the Resetera MC thread:

I don't think that period will big enough to consume Switch for long by week 40 Switch will enter October with big releases each month raising it's sales higher than 2017's holidays. Yes things will become more even, but which year has the bigger holiday performance is what's going to determine this. Pokemon is bigger than Splatoon and 3D Mario in Japan which is what I believe will set things over the edge.

Switch Sales Media Create 2017

week 27 26,256
week 28 31,906
week 29
 98,999
week 30
 89,314
week 31 61,933
week 32 87,798
week 33 22,277
week 34 69,654
week 35 60,074
week 36 45,439
week 37 44,052
week 38 43,426
week 39 73,231
week 40
 38,204
week 41
 40,803
week 42
 31,092

The different release dates of big games are a temporary fluctuation for Switch and PS4's positions year over year throughout 2018. As long as they have big titles releasing were 2017 did not they'll be fine. Switch has Mario Party in early October, Pokemon in mid November, Smash in early December and Yokai Watch 4 somewhere in likely December vs Mario Odyssey in late October and Xenoblade 2 in early December for that.

Last edited by Green098 - on 11 July 2018