Global Hardware 16 June 2018

[Bofferbrauer2]

Other than the raw numbers of consoles sold, there's also a shift clearly visible in the NPD prediction thread away from the base consoles and to the upgraded versions Pro and One X. For the PS4, the split seems to be roughly 60/40 between Slim and Pro, whereas for the XBO it seems already to have shifted to 40/60 between S and X, meaning outside of promotions the X is selling much better than the S

Intrinsic said:

chakkra said:

If this trend continues the Switch and the X1 will be both up YoY while the PS4 will be slightly down.

I can't help but wonder how much of an impact a $100 price cut would have on the X1X.

I think the PS4 still has a chance to be up YOY when comparing 2018 to 2017 or at the very worst match 2017 total sales. This is because even though the PS4 did 20M last year, it had a holiday sales period that was worse than it did in 2016. If sony drops the price this holiday season its possible the boost could take them over.

But even if its down YOY by around 1M or even 2M it would still be doing better than the XB1 and Switch.

Nah, the baseline of the PS4 this year is a good chunk lower than it was last year. This month it will fall behind last year by 1 full million already, and it doesn't look like summer will push many PS4 either until Spider hit the shelves in september. While PS4's December last year was weak, it had it's best November ever with a great BF deal (199 and 299$ for slim and pro, respectively) which made many buy their PS4 earler than planned. A 50$ pricecut won't be nearly enough to retake what has been lost over the course of the year until that point, and will have to make the same BF deal to have a chance to even equal last year's numbers. With the shift in console versions mentioned earlier, it looks like more and more are just upgrading and less new customers adding to the ecosystem than the raw number seem to imply.

It won't be down very far though, PS4 is still doing pretty well. I guess 16-18 are a real possibility. But imo that will be the last year with 15M+ sales for the PS4