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curl-6 on 15 June 2018
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Miyamotoo said:
curl-6 said:

Most kids/casuals are fine with the tablet version though, and most more serious gamers will play it on PC/PS4/Xbox instead.

And I don't buy that lasting the next 5 months without system selling software won't affect Switch's momentum. To keep new customers buying your system you need to offer them a reason to buy, whether it be killer app software, a redesign, a price cut, etc. None of that is likely to happen in the next 5 months.

Most, but for some people maybe they only need one huge free to play game on Switch before they jump on Switch wagon, Fortnite will definatly have some impact on Switch sales, we will see how much exatly. Well we disagree, we can only wait and see, dont forget, Nintendo shipped 2.9m Switch units in January-March period that had only few releases, in both April-June and July-September periods Switch has much stronger line up than it had in January-March, also for instance in last year April-June period Nintendo shiped 2m Switch units, for same period of this year we probably talking at least 2.5m but probably around 3m so we talking about higher sales not just about keeping momentum.

Also you forgetting that Switch last year had huge stock problems from April to September, so Switch could have easily stronger sales in any case, especially because actually has quite solid lineup from May.

Last year from April-June Switch was still a hot new product driven by the earth-shattering arrival of BOTW; this year it's no longer the latest thing and hasn't recently gotten a killer app. But yeah, we'll have to wait and see. It will skyrocket in November, but between now and then I expect sales to be meh.