Will this be the last year PS4 outsells Switch?

[Bofferbrauer2]

quickrick said:

Bofferbrauer2 said:

Ah, now I know which one you mean. You mean this one on page 2, right?

Check again please. While both end up at the same level, if you look closely you'll see Europe was actually trailing behind Japan until the holiday season. The reason for that I told you several times already in other threads I think: Higher launch price (330€) because retailers wanted a bigger margin (Nintendo didn't set a MSRP for Europe) and no Fifa until fall. Since then, the price in Europe has normalized to 299€ and Fifa is increasing the baseline in Europe.

Europe is sailing away since then in terms of Hardware sales. Just look at the information from last quarter: Shipments to Japan: 3.78M in the last financial year( meaning excluding the launch month). Europe? 5.33M

At the same time, we have no guarantee the PS4 is still selling so well in Europe

5.33 is for europe and the rest of the word. As for ps4 its been selling amazing in europe since it came out,  we have to assume its till selling great till we have evidence suggesting its not. as for why europe is trailing in japan obviously november/december in europe will be much bigger then japan regular monthly sales.   

So you're expecting over 10% of the Shipments going to RoW? Also, how about this one, page 14? Income from Switch in Japan until March 31: 171 Million Yen, Europe 193 Million Yen. Europe is clearly pulling ahead now. And yes I know that's Hardware plus software, but there's no reason to assume a high difference in attach rate between the two.

Also, we don't have to assume that the PS4 still sells as well in Europe as it did before, as saturation is slowly setting in. Not that it's selling bad now, just probably slower. It will certainly still be outselling the Switch 90% of the time there this year, but probably with a diminishing lead.

@italic: had to reread several times to understand what you're saying there. Yes holiday season is bigger in Europe than it is in Japan, but that's beside the point, which is that before the holidays Europe was selling very slowly - less than 25k weekly obviously, as otherwise it would have outsold Japan then already - but that's a thing of the past now, as shown above.