Will this be the last year PS4 outsells Switch?

[Bofferbrauer2]

Teeqoz said:

LethalP said:

My point is, the current gap is 1.5 million in PS4's favor. Will that grow significantly up until the holidays? Or do you expect Switch to close that gap in the mid year? As in, by the start of September, what will the gap be? Just a wild guess?

The current gap is only reported by VGC. It's meaningless until we have more concrete figures. I suspect the difference between PS4 and Switch sales is exaggerated on VGC and in reality the gap is much smaller. You can read my response to Barkley below - the concrete sales sources available makes VGC's estimates hard to believe.

Barkley said:

Which is easily explained by the PS4 having 2.9m units on shelves at the end of 2017, and the Switch having stock issues in 2017. Switch would want to ship more then they could sell in that quarter to finally get a healthy amount of units stockpiled on shelves for sale, and Sony would want to ship less to reduce excess stock.

VGC would have us believe the PS4 went from having 2.9 million units on shelves at the end of 2017 to 1.4 million by the end of this Q1. Do you think the PS4 sold 3.94 million in Q1? Because that's what VGC is saying right now. About 971k came from the US, as per NPD, while (an abnormally high) 720k came from Japan, as per Media Create. That still leaves us 2.25 million short of what VGC suggests for Q1. Personally, I think that's too much for Europe and RoW to cover...

That's interesting, I didn't know that there would need to be such high sales of the PS4 in Europe and ROW to reach the sales numbers. I agree that this is a bit too high to seem reasonable compared to the sales in the US.