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Soundwave on 31 May 2018
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Megiddo said:

I would certainly hope if Fortnite and GTAV came out for the Switch this year that they would top 1 million.

That's only like 5% of the userbase. It would be astronomically pathetic if such big games couldn't clear that mark, especially since one is free-to-play.

Obviously those two would crush that barrier. I suspect FIFA 19 has a good shot at topping 1 million on Switch too, World Cup is this year plus the Switch user base will be considerably larger than it was when FIFA 18 launched. I'd like to see that NBA 2K number come up a bit as well. I think Capcom is going to be very happy with Megaman 11 and Street Fighter 30th Anniversary sales on Switch. 

I think if Switch can get to 

GTAV - 2-3 million+

FIFA 19 - 1 million+ 

Ocotopath Traveller - 800k-1 million+

That bodes very, very well for the system, it's not about matching the PS4, but having a nice sized niche where third parties can make a decent amount of money and building up from there.