ninson95 said:
LethalP said:
The Switch is a handheld, simple as that. It's built in TV out dock doesn't change that. But more importantly to the topic is that It's selling to the handheld demographic. Not the home console one. The Switch sells independently to the PS4 and X1, where as PS and Xbox substitute eachothers sales. One does better at the others expense. What matters is the market and ever since Nintendo has been doing it's own thing after the Gamecube, it's attach rates have been consistently lower and we all know why, it's lack of third party support.
The Switch being able to be a ''home console'' doesn't magically mean it will sell software like one (even if it actually was one). The Wii sold less software than the PS3 and 360. Though it did manage to have relatively strong attach rates but guess why? Because more than a quarter of it's software sales was bundled games. Switch isn't going that route.
The Switch doesn't have the steady stream of big releases to take it's software sales anywhere close to an 8.00 tie ratio, you're full of shit to think that lol. Even if we assume the Switch gets multiple 20 million sellers, that didn't take the DS past a 6.00 tie ratio and doesn't make up for the dozens and dozens of big sellers PS4 and Xbox One gets. All you have to do is look at how many 1+ million sellers a console has. Switch has 8 in 13 months. That seems a lot like a Nintendo handheld to me. The extra sales of the Switch over the 3DS in the same time could easily be explained away by the release of multiple major selling titles in it's first year, where as the 3DS was comparatively dry in that period. Switch might sell more software than the Xbox One, but even then only at retail. But it won't be a blowout.
|
Attach rates for at least Nintendo games have increased tremendously since the Wii era… (SMO over 9 Mio, Zelda at 7.1 Mio, MK8D at 7.8 Mio with a 17 Mio switch sold). Ehm you know that when the Switch sells near as much software as the DS did that it'd be a better attach rate as the Switch probably won't match the DS hardware sales.... But we'll see… still very early in switch lifespan you know ;)
|
The Switch has potential to sell 100+ million units. We don't know how long Nintendo plans on supporting the Switch so it might go beyond that if all goes well. It's going to have the usual staple of 10 million+ sellers here on VGChartz and then some. SMO could do 20 million, So could Pokemon, and God knows what else. This I do not dispute. But one thing is certain, the Switch isn't going to have an attach rate like the Xbox One or PS4. The PS4 had 25 1 million sellers 13 months in, the Xbox One had 16. Switch has 8, the 3DS had 5. But the 3DS only had Mario Kart 7 at that point, the Switch got far more in it's first year.
It doesn't get enough game releases to have an attach rate like the Xbox or PS. Like I said in the other post, it might sell more software than the Xbox One, but it's not certain.
