LethalP said:
The one thing the Switch has going for it that other handhelds didn't is the fact it gets every Nintendo exclusive including the traditionally home console ones. So you can add sales for 3D Mario, Zelda, Metroid, Smash, and other home console franchises on top of Pokemon, Animal Crossing etc. So it might have a better attach rate than the 3DS, but it's not going to be close to what Xbox One will settle at, which will probably similar to 360 and OG Xbox, maybe slightly less.
The DS had multiple 20+ million selling games yet didn't manage to sell as many software units as the PS3 or 360. The Xbox One may not get a 10+ million seller this gen at retail, but it has more games that sell 1 million+ and that's what makes up the difference.
Here's what I expect for both:
Xbox One
Hardware sales: 55 - 60 million
Tie-ratio: 9 - 10.00
Sofware sales: 495 - 600 million
Nintendo Switch
Hardware sales: 90 - 100 million
Tie-ratio: 4.50 - 6.00
Sofware sales: 405 - 600 million
I wouldn't say it's that cut and dry.
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